Analysis Of Causality Exchange Rate and Export Value In Indonesia (Empirical Study in 1997-2020)

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study aims to analyze the causal relationship between exchange rate and export value in Indonesia using time series data from 1997 2020. The analytical method that will be used this research is Granger Causality Test approach. instruments are normality test, stationary optimal lag causality test. Based on results of has been done, it shows output cointegration test table 4.3 above, trace statistic 9.016078, which smaller than critical (5%), 15.49471, Prob. 0.3639 less 5 percent, whereas for at 1, known probability (Prob.) 0.4953; result greater significance level so From these results, can concluded there no values rates. So if depreciates against foreign currencies, increase because Indonesia's commodities compete international markets, but contrary, reduce. In addition, based observations analysis processing, a one-way value, meaning affect will, value. According Test, effect rate.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Prisma Sains : Jurnal Pengkajian Ilmu dan Pembelajaran Matematika dan IPA IKIP Mataram

سال: 2023

ISSN: ['2338-4530', '2540-7899']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.33394/j-ps.v11i1.6686